KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Socialism / Socialist (99%)
Resolved: Aug 24, 2026, 3:19 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 24, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Election1%
Trump99%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline99%
Socialism / Socialist99%
Iran / Iranian1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
Bipartisan / Partisan1%
Afford / Affordability / Affordable1%
Tariff1%
Democrat99%
2028 / Campaign1%
Socialism / SocialistWon
TrumpLost
Oil / Gas / GasolineLost
DemocratLost
Afford / Affordability / AffordableLost
Iran / IranianLost
2028 / CampaignLost
ElectionLost
AI / Artificial IntelligenceLost
TariffLost
Bipartisan / PartisanLost
Event does not qualifyLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Joe Manchin speaking in an official capacity.