KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Trump (3+ times) (99%)
Resolved: Aug 23, 2026, 5:12 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 23, 2026, 4:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Democrat1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence47%
Freedom 2501%
Road Trip / Great American Road Trip1%
Trump (3+ times)68%
Election1%
Air Traffic Control / Air Traffic Controller40%
Immigrant / Immigration18%
FAA1%
Nuclear1%
Game / Gamer / Gaming1%
Republican1%
Event does not qualify1%
Artemis / Moon1%
Trump (3+ times)Won
Immigrant / ImmigrationLost
DemocratLost
AI / Artificial IntelligenceLost
Freedom 250Lost
Road Trip / Great American Road TripLost
ElectionLost
Air Traffic Control / Air Traffic ControllerLost
FAALost
NuclearLost
Game / Gamer / GamingLost
RepublicanLost
Event does not qualifyLost
Artemis / MoonLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Fox News Sunday using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fox News Sunday will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Sean Duffy speaking in an official capacity.