KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityGenevieve 4%Leader of 24 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$47.1
Liquidity
$415.7
Low liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 7.0%
Spread
16.7%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
May 15, 26, 10:00 PMDec 1, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
Selected outcome
Genevieve4%
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Rules
If a storm named Amanda is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market resolves Yes for the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026.
- If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then all markets resolve to No.
- If a storm named Boris is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Cristina is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Douglas is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Eastern Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.