KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before the 2030 season 70%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$3.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Mar 30, 26, 8:00 PMApr 1, 30, 3:59 AM
Trends
Rules
If Max Verstappen announces his retirement from F1 before the 2027 F1 season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCBleacher ReportThe Wall Street JournalESPNNew York TimesFox SportsBBC SportAPThe AthleticReutersFormula 1
- Note: The retirement must be intended to be effective immediately or prior to the first new season after the announcement.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Max Verstappen announces his retirement from F1 before the 2028 F1 season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Max Verstappen announces his retirement from F1 before the 2029 F1 season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
MotorsportKALSHICook Out Southern 500 Winner
- Denny Hamlin15%
- Tyler Reddick14%
- Chase Briscoe11%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $225.9K
- 24h Vol
- $225.8K
POLYMARKETF1 Drivers' Champion
- Kimi Antonelli-0.3pt75.5%
- Lando Norris-0.2pt8.2%
- George Russell+0.1pt7.1%
+19 more outcomes
KALSHIItalian Grand Prix Winner
- Lando Norris26.9%
- George Russell23.5%
- Charles Leclerc+1.0pt10.9%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $319.2K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETF1 Constructors' Champion
- Mercedes+2.0pt92%
- Ferrari-3.3pt7%
- McLaren-0.1pt1%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIFleetio 200 Winner
- Justin Allgaier25.5%
- Jesse Love10.2%
- Brandon Jones9.2%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $24.4K
- 24h Vol
- $24.4K
KALSHINASCAR Cup Series Champion
- Denny Hamlin+1.0pt40%
- Ryan Blaney-1.0pt13%
- Christopher Bell+5.0pt10%
+32 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- F1 Drivers Champion
- NASCAR Cook Out Southern 500: Top 20 Finishers
- NASCAR Cook Out Southern 500: Top 10 Finishers
- F1 Constructors Champion
- NASCAR Fleetio 200: Top 10 Finishers
- Italian Grand Prix: Driver Winner
- Will it rain during the Italian Grand Prix?
- NASCAR Fleetio 200: Fastest Lap
- Cook Out Southern 500 Qualifying Session: Pole Position
- NASCAR Cook Out Southern 500: Top 5 Finishers
- Italian Grand Prix Main Race: Podium Finishers
- NASCAR Fleetio 200: Podium Finishers
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Max Verstappen: Retirement?
- Kalshi prices Before the 2030 season at 70% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does Max Verstappen: Retirement resolve?
- Max Verstappen: Retirement is scheduled to resolve on April 1, 2030.
- How is Max Verstappen: Retirement settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Max Verstappen announces his retirement from F1 before the 2027 F1 season start date, then the market resolves to Yes.