KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 50 52%Market line of 7 lines
Above 50 52%Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.7K
Open interest
$4.2K
Medium open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 4:00 AM UTCNov 8, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Carbon Arc ESPN: Live Sports & Scores App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 50 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th. The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means ESPN: Live Sports & Scores App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 20
- If the Carbon Arc ESPN: Live Sports & Scores App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 20 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 30
- If the Carbon Arc ESPN: Live Sports & Scores App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 30 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 35
- If the Carbon Arc ESPN: Live Sports & Scores App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 35 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 40
- If the Carbon Arc ESPN: Live Sports & Scores App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 40 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 45
- If the Carbon Arc ESPN: Live Sports & Scores App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 45 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 50
- If the Carbon Arc ESPN: Live Sports & Scores App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 50 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 85
- If the Carbon Arc ESPN: Live Sports & Scores App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 85 , then the market resolves to Yes.