KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above $30/MWh · —
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Stored price
Above $40/MWh 29.5%Market line of 7 lines
Above $40/MWh 29.5%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.9K
Open interest
$333
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above $30/MWhSpread
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Market data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Oct 23, 26, 9:00 PM UTCOct 30, 26, 8:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Market depth · Above $30/MWh
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
ERCOT West Hub average real-time power price (Week 44)
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KalshiPJM Dominion Hub average real-time power price (Week 44)
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $40/MWh for the week ending October 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Period: October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT to October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. Includes the start; excludes the end. Source: ERCOT’s 15-minute real-time Settlement Point Prices (NP6-905-CD). Intervals follow ERCOT’s Central-time operating days and delivery-interval conventions; repeated daylight-saving intervals count separately. Calculation: Simple average of all applicable 15-minute prices, including negative prices. Round the average to two decimals, with exact halves away from zero. Equality resolves No. Trading closes: October 30, 2026 at 4:59 PM EDT. The final delivery interval still counts. Price versions: Use first published applicable prices. Later corrections count only if published before expiration and accepted by the Exchange as correcting a material error. Exclude unverified, estimated, indicative and forecast prices. Missing data: Do not fill missing prices. At expiration, average the available prices if at least 95% of required intervals are available. Below 95%, resolve only if the available data establishes the outcome regardless of missing values; otherwise, settle at the Exchange-determined last fair price under the full rules.
Rules for each outcome
- Above $30/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $30/MWh for the week ending October 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $20/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $20/MWh for the week ending October 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $40/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $40/MWh for the week ending October 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $200/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $200/MWh for the week ending October 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $65/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $65/MWh for the week ending October 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $50/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $50/MWh for the week ending October 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $100/MWh
- If the all-hours average real-time power price at ERCOT North Hub is above $100/MWh for the week ending October 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
