KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 97%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$3.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
3.0% / 7.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Feb 19, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Alex Cooper and Alix Earle be seen together in public this year?
KalshiAlix Earle on Call Her Daddy by December 31?
PolymarketAlix Earle and Lando Norris confirm relationship in 2026?
PolymarketWill Alix Earle attend an F1 race in 2026?
PolymarketWill Tom Brady be in attendance at Bill Belichick’s wedding?
Manifold MarketsWill Tom Brady play in an NFL game again before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Tom Brady and Alix Earle are reported to be engaged to be married before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
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- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Tom Brady and Alix Earle: Engaged in 2026??
- Kalshi prices No at 97% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Tom Brady and Alix Earle: Engaged in 2026? resolve?
- Tom Brady and Alix Earle: Engaged in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Tom Brady and Alix Earle: Engaged in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Tom Brady and Alix Earle are reported to be engaged to be married before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.