KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Nathan Kimsey beats Gouveia and Schmidt (99%)
Resolved: Sep 10, 2026, 4:55 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Nathan Kimsey beats Gouveia and Schmidt
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 10, 2026, 4:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Nathan Kimsey beats Gouveia and Schmidt99%
Ricardo Gouveia beats Kimsey and Schmidt0%
Benjamin Schmidt beats Gouveia and Kimsey0%
Nathan Kimsey beats Gouveia and SchmidtWon
Ricardo Gouveia beats Kimsey and SchmidtLost
Benjamin Schmidt beats Gouveia and KimseyLost
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PolymarketRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If Ricardo Gouveia is determined to have won the 3-ball matchup among Ricardo Gouveia, Nathan Kimsey, and Benjamin Schmidt in the 1st round of the 2026 Amgen Irish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tie Resolution
- If multiple participants are tied for the 3-ball lead at the end of the round:
- Yes payout: $1/N, rounded down to the nearest cent (N = number of tied participants) No payout: $1 minus the Yes payout
- Withdrawal Rule
- If a golfer withdraws prior to teeing off, all markets will resolve to fair market value.