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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Sports
  3. 2026 Men's Norway Chess Winner
2026 Men's Norway Chess Winner

2026 Men's Norway Chess Winner

81.0% (24h)SportsChessOne-Off
KalshiKalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

This market resolved: Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu (99%)

Resolved: Jun 5, 2026, 7:56 PM

Winning Outcome

Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu

At 7 days out

—

At 24 hours out

24%

Surprise
Current implied probability
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 99%+81.0%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality

63 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$360.1

Liquidity

$2.2K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

99.0% / 100.0%

Spread

1.0%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 7 days ago

Stale
Apr 16, 26, 4:00 PMJun 20, 26, 2:00 PM

Probability Timeline

Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu99%
Wesley So1%
Alireza Firouzja21%
Magnus Carlsen1%
0%25%50%75%100%Jun 3Jun 4Jun 5
Outcome24hChance
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
+81.0%
99%
Wesley So
Wesley So
-73.0%
1%
Alireza Firouzja
Alireza Firouzja
-16.0%
1%
Magnus Carlsen
Magnus Carlsen
1%
Gukesh Dommaraju
Gukesh Dommaraju
1%
Vincent Keymer
Vincent Keymer
1%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

PolymarketAlso available on Polymarket

Norway Chess 2026: Winner

Norway Chess 2026: Winner

72.5%Closed

Resolved

Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu (100%)

Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
+72.5%100%
Vincent Keymer
Vincent Keymer
-0.9%0%
Alireza Firouzja
Alireza Firouzja
-17.9%0%

+14 more outcomes

72 • Medium qualityTight spreadLow liquidity
Total Vol$234.6K
24h Vol$5.6K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Rules

If Magnus Carlsen wins the 2026 Men's Norway Chess tournament originally scheduled from May 25, 2026 to June 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market refers to the 2026 Norway Chess Men's tournament originally scheduled from May 25, 2026 to June 5, 2026.
  • If Vincent Keymer wins the 2026 Men's Norway Chess tournament originally scheduled from May 25, 2026 to June 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Alireza Firouzja wins the 2026 Men's Norway Chess tournament originally scheduled from May 25, 2026 to June 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu wins the 2026 Men's Norway Chess tournament originally scheduled from May 25, 2026 to June 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Gukesh Dommaraju wins the 2026 Men's Norway Chess tournament originally scheduled from May 25, 2026 to June 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Rules

If Magnus Carlsen wins the 2026 Men's Norway Chess tournament originally scheduled from May 25, 2026 to June 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market refers to the 2026 Norway Chess Men's tournament originally scheduled from May 25, 2026 to June 5, 2026.
  • If Vincent Keymer wins the 2026 Men's Norway Chess tournament originally scheduled from May 25, 2026 to June 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Alireza Firouzja wins the 2026 Men's Norway Chess tournament originally scheduled from May 25, 2026 to June 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu wins the 2026 Men's Norway Chess tournament originally scheduled from May 25, 2026 to June 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Gukesh Dommaraju wins the 2026 Men's Norway Chess tournament originally scheduled from May 25, 2026 to June 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.