Current implied probability
Aleksandra Goryachkina 30%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2
Liquidity
$2
Low liquidityBid / Ask
1.0% / 89.0%
Spread
8800.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jul 1, 26, 4:00 PMSep 7, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Aleksandra Goryachkina30%
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If Hou Yifan is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE Top Women Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
- According to FIDE regulations, when players have equal Elo ratings on the FIDE Top Women Players Standard Rating List, the tiebreaking methodology is as follows: Number of rated games played - The player who has played more rated games in the rating period is ranked higher Date of birth - If the number of games is also equal, the younger player (later birth date) is ranked higher Alphabetical order by surname - If both criteria above are still tied, players are ordered alphabetically by their family name
- If Lei Tingjie is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE Top Women Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ju Wenjun is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE Top Women Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Zhu Jiner is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE Top Women Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bibisara Assaubayeva is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE Top Women Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.