FIDE World Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in August 2026

SportsOne-OffChess2mo

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

Current implied probability

Nodirbek Abdusattorov 45%

Leader of 20 outcomes

Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$26.1

Liquidity

$14.1

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

41.0% / 51.0%

Spread

24.4%

Wide spread

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Jul 1, 26, 4:00 PMSep 7, 26, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Nodirbek Abdusattorov45%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If Magnus Carlsen is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.

According to FIDE regulations, when players have equal Elo ratings on the world top players rating list, the tiebreaking methodology is as follows: Number of rated games played - The player who has played more rated games in the rating period is ranked higher Date of birth - If the number of games is also equal, the younger player (later birth date) is ranked higher Alphabetical order by surname - If both criteria above are still tied, players are ordered alphabetically by their family name
If Hikaru Nakamura is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Fabiano Caruana is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Nodirbek Abdusattorov is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Vincent Keymer is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If Magnus Carlsen is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.

According to FIDE regulations, when players have equal Elo ratings on the world top players rating list, the tiebreaking methodology is as follows: Number of rated games played - The player who has played more rated games in the rating period is ranked higher Date of birth - If the number of games is also equal, the younger player (later birth date) is ranked higher Alphabetical order by surname - If both criteria above are still tied, players are ordered alphabetically by their family name
If Hikaru Nakamura is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Fabiano Caruana is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Nodirbek Abdusattorov is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Vincent Keymer is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.

FIDE World Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in August 2026

SportsOne-OffChess2mo

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

Current implied probability

Nodirbek Abdusattorov 45%

Leader of 20 outcomes

Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$26.1

Liquidity

$14.1

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

41.0% / 51.0%

Spread

24.4%

Wide spread

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

Jul 1, 26, 4:00 PMSep 7, 26, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Nodirbek Abdusattorov45%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If Magnus Carlsen is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.

According to FIDE regulations, when players have equal Elo ratings on the world top players rating list, the tiebreaking methodology is as follows: Number of rated games played - The player who has played more rated games in the rating period is ranked higher Date of birth - If the number of games is also equal, the younger player (later birth date) is ranked higher Alphabetical order by surname - If both criteria above are still tied, players are ordered alphabetically by their family name
If Hikaru Nakamura is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Fabiano Caruana is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Nodirbek Abdusattorov is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Vincent Keymer is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.

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FIDE Standard Top Women Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in August 2026

Vaishali Rameshbabu: 6%

KALSHI

Will Gotham Chess (Levy Rozman) join Manifold before the end of 2026?

$500

Yes: 16%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which country will win the 2026 Chess Olympiad (Women's event)?

$410

China: 32%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will happen in 2026 related to AI?

$360

Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year.: 88.6%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner

$101.7

Hikaru Nakamura: 3%

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BitcoinBTC$60,731.70+2.35%

SolanaSOL$78.17+3.36%

EthereumETH$1,631.40+2.10%

XRPXRP$1.06+1.18%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0731+0.77%

BNBBNB$553.38+0.35%

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Rules

If Magnus Carlsen is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.

According to FIDE regulations, when players have equal Elo ratings on the world top players rating list, the tiebreaking methodology is as follows: Number of rated games played - The player who has played more rated games in the rating period is ranked higher Date of birth - If the number of games is also equal, the younger player (later birth date) is ranked higher Alphabetical order by surname - If both criteria above are still tied, players are ordered alphabetically by their family name
If Hikaru Nakamura is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Fabiano Caruana is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Nodirbek Abdusattorov is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.
If Vincent Keymer is rated top 5 on the August 2026 FIDE World Top Players (top 100 players) Standard Rating List, then the market resolves to Yes.