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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Bank of Russia rate decision in June
Bank of Russia rate decision in June

Bank of Russia rate decision in June

1.0% (24h)MonthlyRussia / Ukraine8d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Cut 50bps
Cut 50bps 77%-1.0%
Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.4

Liquidity

$128.3

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

75.0% / 77.0%

Spread

2.7%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Apr 24, 26, 4:00 PMJun 19, 26, 10:29 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Cut 50bps77%

PolymarketAlso available on Polymarket

Bank of Russia decision in June?

Bank of Russia decision in June?

1.0%7d
Decrease
Decrease
+1.0%93%
No Change
No Change
-0.5%7%
Increase
Increase
-0.1%1%
88 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$84.3K
24h Vol$7.8K
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Rules

If the Bank of Russia takes the action of Cut more than 50bps at June Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
  • For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
  • If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
  • Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
  • The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If the Bank of Russia takes the action of Cut more than 50bps at June Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
  • For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
  • If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
  • Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
  • The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).