KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityCut 25bps 49%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2
Liquidity
$7.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
48.0% / 49.0%
Spread
2.1%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jun 19, 26, 6:15 PMJul 24, 26, 10:29 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Cut 25bps49%
Also available on Polymarket
Bank of Russia decision in July?
2.0%19d
-2.0%59%
+0.5%39%
-0.3%2%
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$62.9K
24h Vol$3.6K
POLYMARKETRules
If the Bank of Russia takes the action of Cut more than 50bps at July Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If the Bank of Russia takes the action of Cut more than 50bps at July Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No.
- Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).