KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Magnitude of at least 6.6 · —
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Stored price
Magnitude of at least 7.0 52.5%Market line of 9 lines
Magnitude of at least 7.0 52.5%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$269.3
Open interest
$262
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Magnitude of at least 6.6Spread
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Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Nov 10, 26, 4:59 AM UTCNov 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Magnitude of at least 6.6
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
PolymarketWill there be an earthquake of magnitude >6.0 in the New Madrid Seismic Zone by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWhere will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
PolymarketWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of November?
PolymarketRules
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Geological Survey (USGS)
- The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed on 2026-12-01 at 10:00:00-0500, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at that observation cutoff, use the first data available after the cutoff and by the Expiration Date. If no data is available by the Expiration Date, all contracts resolve to No.
Rules for each outcome
- Magnitude of at least 6.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 7.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 8.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 8.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 8.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during 2026-11-01 00:00:00 UTC through 2026-11-30 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive) is 8.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.