KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Kamu Kirk (99%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 3:50 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 3:58 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Kamu Kirk 90%+56.0ptLeader of 12 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$363.9K
Liquidity
$540.2K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleAug 14, 26, 4:20 PMAug 21, 26, 3:59 AM
Probability Timeline
Kamu Kirk53%
Angela Murray5%
Rick Devens1%
Haley Thogmartin54%
Mallory Aurichio1%
90%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
Rules
If the named outcome is officially eliminated from Big Brother Season 28 Before Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Paramount+
- Elimination includes being voted off, evicted, knocked out, removed from further contention, voluntary withdrawal, disqualification, or producer removal.
- The declaration must be made through official program broadcast, website, verified social media, or press releases.
- Multiple simultaneous eliminations count.
- Initial elimination counts even if the contestant later returns.
- Eliminations immediately reversed in the same episode don't count.
