KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 81%
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$89.1
Liquidity
$3.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
80.0% / 81.0%
Spread
1.3%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jun 24, 26, 7:00 PMAug 7, 27, 2:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes81%
Volume trend
$89Jul 225d of dataJul 26
Related Markets
Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
$130.4KAngela Murray: 6%KALSHI
KALSHI
Love Island UK S13: Winners
$47.9KJulia: 95%KALSHI
KALSHI
Love Island UK S13 · Eliminations Before August
$28KSamraj: 97%KALSHI
KALSHI
Bachelorette Season 22 Winner
$1.4KOther (Season Cancelled): 49%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will be officially announced as a competitor on "Dancing with the Stars" (US) before July 1, 2028?
$844.3Ann Coulter: 18.4%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill SBF ever be featured on the show Love During Lockup?
$213.2Yes: 4.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Rules
If Ariana Madix performs as the official host in Love Island USA Season 9, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this Contract, Ariana Madix satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:
- Official Announcement: Ariana Madix is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform the official host in Love Island USA Season 9, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR
- Actual Performance: Ariana Madix appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as the official host in any official performance, showing, or release of Love Island USA Season 9.
- Additional clarification(s):
- If Love Island USA Season 9 is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Ariana Madix was officially announced in the official host, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”