KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityPriya 96%+19.0%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
88 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$17.2K
Liquidity
$9.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
95.0% / 96.0%
Spread
1.1%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Jul 20, 26, 3:05 PMAug 1, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Priya96%
Volume trend
$17.2kJul 203d of dataJul 22
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Rules
If Aidan is officially eliminated from Love Island UK: Season 13 Before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Elimination includes being voted off, evicted, knocked out, removed from further contention, voluntary withdrawal, disqualification, or producer removal.
- The declaration must be made through official program broadcast, website, verified social media, or press releases.
- Multiple simultaneous eliminations count.
- Initial elimination counts even if the contestant later returns.
- Eliminations immediately reversed in the same episode don't count.