Consecutive days of average temperature in Dallas/Fort Worth above 90°F - week of Oct 5, 2026
WeatherDaily6d
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Oct 5, 2026, 5:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
2+ consecutive days No observed price
2+ consecutive days No observed priceMarket quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
—
Open interest unknownMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Oct 5, 26, 4:00 AM UTCOct 12, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Manifold MarketsRules
If there is at least 2 or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KDFW in Dallas/Fort Worth is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- How this is resolved A day's average temperature is the arithmetic mean of the hourly temperature values reported by The Weather Company for KDFW from 12:00 AM to 11:59 PM local time, rounded to the nearest whole degree. Only days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 may count toward a streak. Data as published at the Expiration Time will be used; later revisions are disregarded. Doesn't count for payout An average of exactly 90 degrees Fahrenheit does not satisfy the condition. A day with fewer than 18 reported hourly values does not satisfy the condition and breaks a streak.
Rules for each outcome
- 2+ consecutive days
- If there is at least 2 or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KDFW in Dallas/Fort Worth is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3+ consecutive days
- If there is at least 3 or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KDFW in Dallas/Fort Worth is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4+ consecutive days
- If there is at least 4 or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KDFW in Dallas/Fort Worth is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5+ consecutive days
- If there is at least 5 or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KDFW in Dallas/Fort Worth is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 6+ consecutive days
- If there is at least 6 or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KDFW in Dallas/Fort Worth is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes.
