KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Daniil Medvedev -1.5 games (98%)
Resolved: Oct 23, 2026, 11:02 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Daniil Medvedev -1.5 games
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 10:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Daniil Medvedev -4.5 games28%
Daniil Medvedev -1.5 games98%
Daniil Medvedev -7.5 games1%
Daniil Medvedev -1.5 gamesWon
Daniil Medvedev -4.5 gamesLost
Daniil Medvedev -7.5 gamesLost
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KalshiRules
If the game differential in favor of Daniil Medvedev across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Daniil Medvedev vs Terence Atmane professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the Daniil Medvedev vs Terence Atmane professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Quarterfinal. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Daniil Medvedev -1.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Daniil Medvedev across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Daniil Medvedev vs Terence Atmane professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Daniil Medvedev -4.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Daniil Medvedev across the full match is above 4.5 games in the Daniil Medvedev vs Terence Atmane professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Daniil Medvedev -7.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Daniil Medvedev across the full match is above 7.5 games in the Daniil Medvedev vs Terence Atmane professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.
