KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSettled by the venue, market by market
Resolved: Oct 23, 2026, 11:22 PM
This event has no single winner. The venue settled each market separately; each market shows its own result.
Current implied probability
Luca Van Assche -1.5 games 34%Leader of 3 outcomes
Luca Van Assche -1.5 games 34%Market quality
39 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$37.6K
Open interest
$23.5K
Medium open interestMarket data
Updated 45 minutes ago
LaggingOct 22, 26, 7:15 PM UTCOct 23, 26, 9:10 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Lorenzo Musetti -3.5 games48%
Luca Van Assche -1.5 games34%
Lorenzo Musetti -6.5 games0%
Luca Van Assche -1.5 games34%
Lorenzo Musetti -3.5 games1%
Lorenzo Musetti -6.5 games1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- The following market refers to the Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Quarterfinal. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Luca Van Assche -1.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Luca Van Assche across the full match is above 1.5 games in the Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lorenzo Musetti -3.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Lorenzo Musetti across the full match is above 3.5 games in the Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Lorenzo Musetti -6.5 games
- If the game differential in favor of Lorenzo Musetti across the full match is above 6.5 games in the Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Lyon Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.