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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Bonds & Treasuries
  3. Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026
Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026

Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026

Bonds & TreasuriesOne-Off6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 9%
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$9.2

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

7.0% / 18.0%

Spread

157.1%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Mar 5, 26, 3:00 PMDec 31, 26, 9:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes9%

Rules

If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Please note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,957.29+2.90%EthereumETH$1,659.73+2.21%SolanaSOL$65.37+2.33%

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Please note that intraday changes will not be reflected in the Underlying, as FRED only posts a single value per day.