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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Bonds & Treasuries
  3. Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 12, 2026?
Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 12, 2026?

Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 12, 2026?

3.0% (24h)Bonds & TreasuriesOne-Off1d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
4.53% to 4.55%
4.53% to 4.55% 14%-3.0%
Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$2.4

Liquidity

$3

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

13.0% / 17.0%

Spread

30.8%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Jun 5, 26, 8:30 PMJun 12, 26, 7:25 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

4.53% to 4.55%14%

Rules

If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is below 4.29 % on Jun 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jun 12, 2026, or one week following Jun 12, 2026.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is between 4.29-4.31 % on Jun 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is between 4.32-4.34 % on Jun 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is between 4.35-4.37 % on Jun 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is between 4.38-4.40 % on Jun 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,604.58+2.36%EthereumETH$1,650.76+1.70%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.42%

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is below 4.29 % on Jun 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jun 12, 2026, or one week following Jun 12, 2026.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is between 4.29-4.31 % on Jun 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is between 4.32-4.34 % on Jun 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is between 4.35-4.37 % on Jun 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is between 4.38-4.40 % on Jun 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.