KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 10% 88%+1.0ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1
Liquidity
$11.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Apr 12, 24, 12:00 PM UTCMay 1, 30, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
KalshiHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
KalshiBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
PolymarketCATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsCreed Aventus: Price in 2026
KalshiWill Perplexity's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRules
If the share of electric light-duty vehicles sold is above 10% in Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Argonne National Laboratory
- If the share of electric light-duty vehicles sold is above 20% in Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the share of electric light-duty vehicles sold is above 30% in Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the share of electric light-duty vehicles sold is above 50% in Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-23.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-9.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $682.4K
- 24h Vol
- $661.4K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+43.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $504.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-2.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-45.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- 102° to 103°+55.0pt95.2%
- 100° to 101°-47.0pt1%
- 98° to 99°-9.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+47.0pt95.2%
- 90° to 91°-34.0pt1%
- 88° to 89°-6.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 85 F on September 8, 2026?
- Yes96%
- No4%
- Total Vol
- $125.8K
- 24h Vol
- $125.8K
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 86 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 87 F on September 8, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 89 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 88 F on September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for EV market share in 2030??
- Kalshi prices Above 10% at 88% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does EV market share in 2030? resolve?
- EV market share in 2030? is scheduled to resolve on May 1, 2030.
- How is EV market share in 2030? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the share of electric light-duty vehicles sold is above 10% in Jan 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.