Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Jul 28, 2026, 4:30 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
New York City 59.4%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
57.0% / 60.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Jul 27, 26, 12:49 PMAug 1, 26, 7:30 AM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
New York City59%
Compare venues· New York City
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall85% match · auto | High | 59% | 0pt | $16.1K | $85.2K | 20 minutes ago | Open → |
 GeminiThis page | Low | 59% | 0pt | $0 | $0 | 20 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
New York City FC vs. Toronto FC
3d
58.4%
22.8%
-0.5pt18.8%
82 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$17.6K
24h Vol$16.1K
POLYMARKETRules
Toronto vs New York City
- If New York City wins the Major League Soccer match between New York City and Toronto originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No.
- The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Los Angeles F vs Vancouver
$10Vancouver: 53.5%GEMINI
GEMINI
English Premier League Champion
$0Arsenal: 31%GEMINI
GEMINIAtlanta vs Philadelphia
$0Philadelphia: 55.5%GEMINI
GEMINI
Who cancels the SpaceX–Anthropic compute deal first?
$250SpaceX: 15.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill a team of robots win a game of soccer against the winners of the most recent World Cup by the end of 2040?
$60Yes: 25.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
$3.7KYes: 3%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter
Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt
WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter
Polymarket prices Golden Ball at 50% despite Spain reaching World Cup finalBlockchain.News
Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph
DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto NewsRules
Toronto vs New York City
- If New York City wins the Major League Soccer match between New York City and Toronto originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, based only on regulation time plus stoppage time and excluding extra time and penalties, this market will resolve to Yes.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to No.
- The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event after regulation time plus stoppage time only.
- Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process.