Current implied probability
New York City 58.4%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
83 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$16.1K
Liquidity
$131.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
58.0% / 59.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+11.5 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jul 18, 26, 4:00 PMJul 31, 26, 11:30 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
New York City59%
Compare venues· New York City
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 59% | 0pt | $16.1K | $131.8K | 4 minutes ago | |
 Gemini85% match · auto | Low | 59% | 0pt | $0 | $0 | 24 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Gemini
Toronto vs New York City
4d
59.4%
21.8%
18.8%
48 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
GEMINIRules
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Friday, July 31, 2026 between New York City FC and Toronto FC.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$16.1kJul 245d of dataJul 28
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This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Friday, July 31, 2026 between New York City FC and Toronto FC.