Data quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Jul 27, 2026, 2:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
5,400 to 5,599.99 95%Leader of 23 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Mar 3, 26, 11:34 AMDec 31, 26, 9:00 PM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
5,400 to 5,599.9995%
Compare venues· 7,800 to 7,999.99
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Kalshi
S&P close price end of 2026?
2.0 pts5mo
11.9%
11%
-2.0pt9.2%
+24 more outcomes
86 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$5.1M
24h Vol$13.4K
KALSHI
Also available on Manifold Markets
S&P 500 closing price on Dec 31 2026
5mo
97%
+0.5pt93.5%
92%
+16 more outcomes
Community forecast16 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
S&P close price end of 2026?
- If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between the listred price range, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from For example, Google Finance.
- The market will close on December 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F13749dfcb87e4ecc8d88c9cdf3d5cea9?alt=media&token=4907b68a-a6c5-4e1a-973f-6af20fe9d50c&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.0k98.0%KALSHI6,800 to 6,999.99 — No6d ago
KALSHI6,800 to 6,999.99 — No6d agoRelated Markets
Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
$2.5K28,500 to 28,999.99: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIWill Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)
$1.5KYes: 1.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?
$1.4K↑$170B: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Lambda's valuation hit __ by December 31?
$453.4↑$8B: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Stripe's valuation hit __ by December 31?
$278.6↓$170B: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill SpaceX outperform the Nasdaq Composite's total return in 2026?
$108Yes: 28.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
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S&P close price end of 2026?
- If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between the listred price range, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from For example, Google Finance.
- The market will close on December 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F13749dfcb87e4ecc8d88c9cdf3d5cea9?alt=media&token=4907b68a-a6c5-4e1a-973f-6af20fe9d50c&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).