GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Sep 14, 2026, 5:55 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
78°F to 79°F 47.2%Leader of 3 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$198
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownTraders
0
Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Sep 13, 26, 1:08 PM UTCSep 15, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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GeminiRules
Highest temperature in Philadelphia on September 14, 2026?
- This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Philadelphia PA, PA on September 14, 2026.
- The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service ("NWS") Climatological Report (Daily) for Philadelphia PA, PA.
- Specifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Philadelphia PA on September 14, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract.
- Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for September 14, 2026 as documented by the NWS.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes.
