GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 13, 2026, 5:27 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
74°F to 75°F 45.9%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 13, 26, 1:06 PM UTCSep 15, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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GeminiRules
Highest temperature in NYC on September 14, 2026?
- This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Central Park NY, NY on September 14, 2026.
- The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service ("NWS") Climatological Report (Daily) for Central Park NY, NY.
- Specifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Central Park NY on September 14, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract.
- Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for September 14, 2026 as documented by the NWS.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 13, 2026?
- New York City+1.0pt99%
- Trenton+5.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+91.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $174K
- 24h Vol
- $163.1K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 13, 2026?
- 78° to 79°50%
- 80° to 81°32.1%
- 82° to 83°8.5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $81.4K
- 24h Vol
- $81.2K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 13, 2026?
- 76° to 77°53.3%
- 74° to 75°38.1%
- 78° to 79°5.7%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $29.8K
- 24h Vol
- $29.5K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 13, 2026?
- 78° to 79°50.5%
- 80° to 81°23.8%
- 77° or below20.8%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.5K
- 24h Vol
- $28.1K
KALSHIWhere will it rain this weekend (Sep 12 - Sep 13)?
- Atlanta+4.0pt99%
- Trenton+15.0pt99%
- Newark+25.0pt99%
+20 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 13, 2026?
- 91° to 92°55.2%
- 89° to 90°28.6%
- 93° or above9.5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $22K
- 24h Vol
- $21.6K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in NYC on September 14, 2026??
- Gemini prices 74°F to 75°F at 46% as of September 13, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in NYC on September 14, 2026? resolve?
- Highest temperature in NYC on September 14, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 15, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in NYC on September 14, 2026? settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Highest temperature in NYC on September 14, 2026?
- Where else is Highest temperature in NYC on September 14, 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.