GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningSource data degradedNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 14, 2026, 5:15 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
70°F to 71°F 47.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 28 minutes ago
Sep 14, 26, 1:06 PM UTCSep 16, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in NYC on September 14, 2026?
GeminiHighest temperature in Atlanta on September 14, 2026?
GeminiHighest temperature in Philadelphia on September 14, 2026?
GeminiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 14, 2026?
GeminiHighest temperature in Denver on September 14, 2026?
GeminiHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 14, 2026?
GeminiRules
Highest temperature in NYC on September 15, 2026?
- This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded at Central Park NY, NY on September 15, 2026.
- The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service ("NWS") Climatological Report (Daily) for Central Park NY, NY.
- Specifically, this contract will resolve to Yes if the highest temperature recorded at Central Park NY on September 15, 2026, as reported in the first published version of the applicable NWS Climatological Report (Daily), satisfies the temperature range specified in this contract.
- Otherwise, this contract will resolve to No. The Expiration Value shall be the maximum temperature for September 15, 2026 as documented by the NWS.
- If the Expiration Value cannot be determined by the latest Expiration Date, the contract will resolve to No. Each temperature range listed for this event is mutually exclusive, and only one contract will resolve to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 14, 2026?
- Minneapolis+16.0pt98%
- Houston-4.0pt40%
- Miami-1.0pt38%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $95.3K
- 24h Vol
- $92K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 14, 2026?
- 79° to 80°44.3%
- 81° to 82°31.9%
- 83° or above13.3%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $70.9K
- 24h Vol
- $70.9K
POLYMARKETHow many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
- 14–16-1.0pt48.5%
- 17–19+2.0pt31.3%
- 11–13-0.5pt14.1%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 14, 2026?
- 74° to 75°63.9%
- 76° to 77°29.6%
- 78° to 79°3.7%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $50.6K
- 24h Vol
- $50.6K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 14, 2026?
- 92° to 93°42.6%
- 90° to 91°42.6%
- 88° to 89°9.3%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $22.1K
- 24h Vol
- $21.8K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic-0.3pt50%
- SpaceX+2.0pt49%
- OpenAI+0.1pt1%
+9 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 15?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Singapore on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 15?
- Highest temperature in Manila on September 15?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in NYC on September 15, 2026??
- Gemini prices 70°F to 71°F at 48% as of September 14, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in NYC on September 15, 2026? resolve?
- Highest temperature in NYC on September 15, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in NYC on September 15, 2026? settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Highest temperature in NYC on September 15, 2026?
- Where else is Highest temperature in NYC on September 15, 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.