PredictItVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichNicht verifizierte AuflösungsdatenRetail prediction exchange
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 100%
Methodik
Retail prediction exchange
Fragetyp
-
24h-Volumen
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
14. Sept. 26, 17:53 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
100%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
KalshiWill the AI Kill Switch Act pass the US House of Representatives before Feb 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the U.S. authorize a government AI kill switch?
KalshiAI will kill everyone by mandating toxic vaccines
Manifold MarketsWhen will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
KalshiWill the House pass another reconciliation bill by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, subsequent to the launch of this market on September 14, 2026, and by the End Date listed below, the House of Representatives passes H. R. 9917 or another bill with a short title containing the phrase "Kill Switch" and relating to the regulation of artificial intelligence.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 12/31/2026 11:59 PM (ET)
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 12/31/2026 11:59 PM (ET)
Offene Märkte
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-2.3pt93%
- Yes+2.3pt7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 18,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 549.695 €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+7.0pt27.8%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+12.0pt25.8%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt13.4%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt87%
- December 15,+0.5pt84%
- November 30,+6.0pt79%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+47.0pt95%
- Before Sep 1, 2027-5.0pt58%
- Before April 1, 2027+1.0pt48%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt87%
- Before Mar 1, 202786%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt82%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
KALSHIWhich companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Jersey Mike's99%
- Shein98%
- Oura-1.0pt96%
+26 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.076,2 €
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Senate passes Clarity Act by which date?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Holtec Nuclear IPO Closing Market Cap
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the House pass the AI Kill Switch bill in 2026??
- PredictIt bewertet No mit 100% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the House pass the AI Kill Switch bill in 2026? entschieden?
- Will the House pass the AI Kill Switch bill in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the House pass the AI Kill Switch bill in 2026? abgerechnet?
- PredictIt rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that, subsequent to the launch of this market on September 14, 2026, and by the End Date listed below, the House of Representatives passes H. R. 9917 or another bill with a short title containing the phrase "Kill Switch" and relating to the regulation of artificial intelligence.<br /><br />PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.<br /><br />End Date: 12/31/2026 11:59 PM (ET)