PredictItGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichNicht verifizierte AuflösungsdatenRetail prediction exchange
Nicht verifizierte Auflösungsdaten: 40.0% to 40.2% (96%)
Dieses Ergebnis ist abgeleitet oder nicht durch anbietergestützte Auflösungsnachweise gedeckt.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 16.09.2026, 15:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
40.0% to 40.2%2%
38.1% or lower1%
38.2% to 38.4%1%
38.5% to 38.7%1%
38.8% to 39.0%15%
39.1% to 39.3%11%
39.4% to 39.6%4%
39.7% to 39.9%1%
40.3% or higher4%
40.0% to 40.2%Ergebnis ausstehend
38.1% or lowerErgebnis ausstehend
38.2% to 38.4%Ergebnis ausstehend
38.5% to 38.7%Ergebnis ausstehend
38.8% to 39.0%Ergebnis ausstehend
39.1% to 39.3%Ergebnis ausstehend
39.4% to 39.6%Ergebnis ausstehend
39.7% to 39.9%Ergebnis ausstehend
40.3% or higherErgebnis ausstehend
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
President Trump grants clemency to Ghislaine Maxwell by midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill President Trump make a major Gaffe During the Mid terms
Manifold MarketsWill Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify President Trump's average RealClearPolitics job approval rating at the End Date listed below.
- The approval rating shall be drawn from the table of individual polls, available upon launch of this market at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating ("the Settlement Source"), as shown on devices set to Eastern Time.
- Any number displayed at the Settlement Source at the End Date other than the average job approval of President Trump (currently labelled "Approve" in the row labelled "RCP Average") will be irrelevant for purposes of this market.
Should the Settlement Source be unavailable at the End Date, PredictIt will, at its sole discretion, await an update, select the most recent data point in the identified series or an alternate source, or construct its own polling average.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 09/16/2026 11:00 AM (ET)
