PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 01.09.2026, 21:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
October 31 100%+1.9ptFührend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
46 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
2428,7 €
Liquidität
4688,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
4
7d-Änderung
+61.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet4. Feb. 26, 18:131. Nov. 26, 3:59
Trends
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.494901° N, 37.365342° E in Toretske, Donetsk Oblast, by the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Russia capture Toretske by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet October 31 mit 100% (Stand: 1. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Russia capture Toretske by which date? entschieden?
- Will Russia capture Toretske by which date? soll am 1. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Russia capture Toretske by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.494901° N, 37.365342° E in Toretske, Donetsk Oblast, by the named outcome, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.