Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: No
Entschieden: 04.02.2024, 01:01
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 100%
Marktqualitat
15 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
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Liquidität unbekanntMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 123 Tagen
Veraltet6. Dez. 23, 23:1631. Dez. 23, 0:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Regeln
If Google deploys an LLM that reaches the top of the Elo leaderboard on https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Only models accessible to the public (e.g. developers or public sign-ups) will count for this market.
- If Google deploys a new model in 2023 that could reach the top of the leaderboard but is not yet ranked at year's end due to time required for evaluation, this market's resolution may be delayed until February 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
- If at this point the resolution source still does not list the new model's ELO, the underlying script(s) will be used to determine whether google's model tops the leaderboard.
- Note that the model must be released by the resolution date to be considered (if they release a new version of the model after the resolution date, it will not be considered for this market).
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Google have the best LLM before 2024??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 100% (Stand: 24. April 2026).
- Wann wird Will Google have the best LLM before 2024? entschieden?
- Will Google have the best LLM before 2024? soll am 31. Dezember 2023 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Google have the best LLM before 2024? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Google deploys an LLM that reaches the top of the Elo leaderboard on https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".