Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 57%-1.5pt
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
14,5 €
Liquidität
800,6 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
41.0% / 44.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
3
7d-Änderung
+10.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
27. März 26, 18:13 UTC31. Dez. 26, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal?
KalshiNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
PolymarketWhich leaders will leave office in 2026?
KalshiWho replaces Merz as Chancellor before the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French parliament passes a 2027 national budget (Loi de Finances pour 2027) and it is published in the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET (UTC+01:00).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying budget must provide funding for the entire year 2027.
- Special or emergency funding bills will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French Government, specifically the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) (journal-officiel.gouv.fr).
- However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will France pass a national budget by December 31??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 57% (Stand: 15. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will France pass a national budget by December 31? entschieden?
- Will France pass a national budget by December 31? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will France pass a national budget by December 31? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French parliament passes a 2027 national budget (Loi de Finances pour 2027) and it is published in the Official Journal of France (Journal Officiel) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM CET (UTC+01:00).