KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 08.09.2026, 22:31 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2027 34%
Marktqualitat
34 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1697,9 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
30.0% / 38.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
5. Sept. 26, 02:30 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0%
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If all 27 EU member states agree to or announce the final agreed terms of the overall political agreement on the 2028-2034 EU long-term budget (MFF), as officially declared by the European Council to have been reached by all 27 EU member states the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:European Council
- The European Council must officially declare that all 27 EU member states have reached political agreement on the overall 2028-2034 MFF terms.
- A commitment or timetable to reach agreement later, a negotiating box, a partial or sectoral mandate, or a package leaving MFF-level terms unresolved does not qualify.
- European Parliament consent, formal legislative adoption, and entry into force are not required.
- An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Official statements to international bodies
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Jan 1, 2027 mit 34% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal? entschieden?
- When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will the EU reach a long-term budget deal? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If all 27 EU member states agree to or announce the final agreed terms of the overall political agreement on the 2028-2034 EU long-term budget (MFF), as officially declared by the European Council to have been reached by all 27 EU member states the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.