Will I be in a serious, potentially-long-term relationship by the end of 2026?
One-OffSociety & Culture3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 73.2%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet18. Mai 26, 06:58 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves YES if, at any point before Dec 31, 2026, all of the following occur:
- Someone and I each provide a probability estimate regarding our intent to pursue a long-term maximally serious relationship
- Both estimates are given within a ~2 week window of each other
- The mean of the two estimates is ≥40%
- Estimates can be verbal or written but must be deliberate (not offhand).
- Only needs to occur once; reversions or breakups afterward don't change the resolution.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will I be in a serious, potentially-long-term relationship by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 73% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will I be in a serious, potentially-long-term relationship by the end of 2026? entschieden?
- Will I be in a serious, potentially-long-term relationship by the end of 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will I be in a serious, potentially-long-term relationship by the end of 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if, at any point before Dec 31, 2026, all of the following occur: