PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
June 30, 2027 14%-0.5ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
46 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
13.602,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
5.7 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-2.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
1. Juli 26, 21:49 UTC1. Juli 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?
KalshiWill Clarence Thomas leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas's replacement be appointed by a Democratic president?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
- Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.