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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

3.9% (24h)One-OffChina6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Dong Jun
Dong Jun 14%+0.5%
Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat

64 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

852,4 €

Liquidität

92.121 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

4.1% / 12.3%

Spread

200.0%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-1.4%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

29. Jan. 26, 20:4231. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Dong Jun14%

Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
  • 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
  • Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
  • A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,655.03+2.33%EthereumETH$1,650.38+1.55%SolanaSOL$65.14+1.56%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.70%XRPXRP$1.12+0.21%BNBBNB$595.20+1.63%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
  • 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
  • Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
  • A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.