Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Kevin Warsh (100%)
Nicht verifizierte Auflösungsdaten
Dieses Ergebnis ist abgeleitet oder nicht durch anbietergestützte Auflösungsnachweise gedeckt.
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Kevin Warsh 100%Führend unter 35 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
4,5 Mio. €
Liquidität
6 Mio. €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 0.1%
7d-Änderung
-0.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 75 Tagen
Veraltet4. März 26, 20:5531. Okt. 26, 0:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Kevin Warsh100%
Judy Shelton1%
Kevin Hassett0%
Christopher Waller0%
Jerome Powell0%
Stephen Miran1%
Scott Bessent0%
Other0%
Michelle Bowman0%
Person B0%
Person C0%
Person D0%
Person E0%
Person F0%
Person G0%
Person H0%
Person I0%
Person J0%
Person K0%
Person L0%
Person M0%
Person N0%
Person O0%
Person P0%
Person Q0%
Person R0%
Person S0%
Person T0%
Person U0%
Person V0%
Person W0%
Person X0%
Person Y0%
Person Z0%
Rick Reider0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· Kevin Warsh
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 100% | — | 4,5 Mio. € | 6 Mio. € | vor 75 Tagen | |
 Kalshi68% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 100% | — | 1,1 Mio. € | 61.263 € | vor 75 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Who will be confirmed as Fed chair?
Geschlossen
Aufgelöst
Kevin Warsh (100%)
+0.1pt100%
0%
0%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen8,5 Mio. €
24h-Volumen1,1 Mio. €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
- Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
- Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count.
- Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
- If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
1052,7 €Kevin Warsh: 92%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
PROP BET - What will happen in Trump's attempt to fire Fed Reserve Gov Lisa Cook? [Add Answers]
219,7 €Trump announces a nominee for Cook's seat before 2026: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
173,5 €Before Nov 1, 2026: 15%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?
52,1 €Before 2027: 9%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?
37 €Kevin Hassett: 9%KALSHI
KALSHIWho will be the next chairman of the federal reserve board?
0 €Kevin Warsh: 98.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve according to the next individual formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
- Formal confirmation as Chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm a nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
- Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count.
- Senate confirmation of a listed individual as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
- If no Senate confirmation for the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve has occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S.