Who will be confirmed as Fed chair?
Fed
KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Kevin Warsh (100%)
Entschieden: 13.05.2026, 20:10
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitKevin Warsh 100%+0.1ptFührend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1,1 Mio. €
Liquidität
61.242,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 74 Tagen
Veraltet5. März 26, 0:008. Jan. 29, 15:00
Trends
100%
0%
0%
0%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· Kevin Warsh
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt68% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 100% | — | 4,5 Mio. € | 6 Mio. € | vor 74 Tagen | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 100% | — | 1,1 Mio. € | 61.242,1 € | vor 74 Tagen |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Geschlossen
Aufgelöst
Kevin Warsh (100%)
100%
0%
0%
+32 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen56,6 Mio. €
24h-Volumen4,5 Mio. €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If Kevin Warsh is the first person confirmed as chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.
- If Judy Shelton is the first person confirmed as chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Rick Rieder is the first person confirmed as chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Kevin Hassett is the first person confirmed as chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Fed Decision in July?
4,1 Mio. €No change: 77%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
1 Mio. €Fed maintains rate: 78%KALSHI
KALSHI
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
74.522,5 €0 (0: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed rate hike by which date?
55.081,3 €October Meeting: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?
41.364,7 €Above 3.75%: 21%KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference?
41.248 €Dissent: 30%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If Kevin Warsh is the first person confirmed as chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.
- If Judy Shelton is the first person confirmed as chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Rick Rieder is the first person confirmed as chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Kevin Hassett is the first person confirmed as chair of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.