Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Neutrality initiative 6%+1.8pt
Marktqualitat
58 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
151,6 €
Liquidität
22.468,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.2% / 5.9%
Spread
2.7 pt
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
-0.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
14. Juli 26, 0:0427. Sept. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Neutrality initiative6%
Volumentrend
$17314. Juli12T Daten27. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Next French Presidential Election
99.209,4 €Marine Le Pen: 31%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Clacton by-election: 2nd place
40.582,5 €Count Binface: 78%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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Will Count BinFace win the Clacton-by-election?
828,8 €Ja: 7.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
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593 €Ja: 15.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Germany's Federal Constitutional Court rule that the 2025 election votes must be recounted (BSW complaint)?
523,4 €Yes, full recount: 6.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on September 27, 2026:
- - Issue 1: Popular initiative ‘Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative)’ - Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative)’
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
- If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines.