KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 91%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
3274,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
4.0% / 8.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
21. Mai 26, 21:00 UTC1. Jan. 28, 15:00 UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Yes wins the Nauruan constitutional referendum on changing the country's official name from Nauru to Naoero, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Nauru Electoral Commission
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option must achieve the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met.
- Failure to meet turnout requirements results in No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Nauru’s name-change referendum pass??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 91% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Nauru’s name-change referendum pass? entschieden?
- Will Nauru’s name-change referendum pass? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Nauru’s name-change referendum pass? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Yes wins the Nauruan constitutional referendum on changing the country's official name from Nauru to Naoero, then the market resolves to Yes.