PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Marcelo Castro 55.7%-0.5ptFührend unter 20 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
70 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
38,5 €
Liquidität
133.196,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+10.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
17. Aug. 26, 10:06 UTC4. Okt. 26, 06:00 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Piauí
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KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
KalshiWill anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election?
KalshiRegeln
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
- Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won.
- If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place?
- Polymarket bewertet Marcelo Castro mit 56% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place entschieden?
- Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place soll am 4. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.