KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 87%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
4028,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
6.0% / 10.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
31. Jan. 26, 15:004. Okt. 27, 14:00
Trends
Regeln
If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of the 2026 Brazil Presidential election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Superior Electoral Court
- The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round.
- In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round.
- In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes.
- Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies.
- The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für CoinRithm-Referenz liegt bei 7%. Die Kurse liegen rund 6 Prozentpunkte auseinander.
CoinRithm-Referenz 7% · 2 Plattformen · 6 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 87% (Stand: 31. August 2026).
- Wann wird Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election? entschieden?
- Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election? soll am 4. Oktober 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of the 2026 Brazil Presidential election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.