Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
3.0 Pkt. (24h)One-OffPolitikWahlLatin America1J
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10% 54%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Marktqualitat
58 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1995,3 €
Liquidität
11.154,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
23. Apr. 26, 04:00 UTC4. Okt. 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
KalshiBrazil presidential election: first round winner?
KalshiBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
LimitlessBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
PolymarketRegeln
If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Lula da Silva minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Lula da Silva if Lula da Silva wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Lula da Silva loses.
- If Lula da Silva wins, the margin will be positive; if Lula da Silva loses, the margin will be negative; if Lula da Silva ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Lula da Silva runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory · Lula da Silva <5% 35%
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory · Lula da Silva <5% 32%
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory?
- Kalshi bewertet Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10% mit 54% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory entschieden?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory soll am 4. Oktober 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket, Limitless gelistet.