Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Lula da Silva <5% 34%-2.5%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
257,1 €
Liquidität
100.456 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
9.7% / 11.9%
Spread
22.7%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+5.3%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
11. Feb. 26, 22:514. Okt. 26, 0:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Lula da Silva <5%34%
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
6.0%1J
-6.0%15%
45%
0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen7,6 €
24h-Volumen0 €
KALSHIRegeln
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
Brazil Presidential Election
766.691,1 €Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 45%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
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5235,5 €James Talarico: 1%KALSHI
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A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.