Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
0.5 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffWahlLatin America
PolymarketGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Fujimori 0.2–0.3% (100%)
Nicht verifizierte Auflösungsdaten
Dieses Ergebnis ist abgeleitet oder nicht durch anbietergestützte Auflösungsnachweise gedeckt.
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitFujimori 0.2–0.3% 100%+0.5ptFührend unter 23 Optionen
Marktqualitat
48 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1126,2 €
Liquidität
0 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
+2.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Tagen
VeraltetWahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Fujimori 0.2–0.3%100%
Fujimori 1%+1%
Fujimori 0.9–1.0%21%
Fujimori 0.8–0.9%36%
Fujimori 0.7–0.8%1%
Fujimori 0.6–0.7%3%
Fujimori 0.5–0.6%15%
Fujimori 0.4–0.5%0%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4%0%
Fujimori 0.1–0.2%0%
Fujimori 0–0.1%0%
Sánchez 0–0.1%1%
Sánchez 0.3–0.4%9%
Sánchez 0.4–0.5%0%
Other3%
Sánchez 0.5–0.6%0%
Sánchez 0.9–1.0%0%
Sánchez 0.2–0.3%0%
Sánchez 0.1–0.2%0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· Fujimori 0.2–0.3%
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Niedrig | 100% | — | 1126,2 € | 0 € | vor 22 Tagen | |
 Kalshi82% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 94% | — | 0 € | 37.092,1 € | vor 24 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?
Geschlossen
Aufgelöst
Keiko Fujimori, 0-3% (94%)
81%
6.9%
5.2%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
19 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen76.219,8 €
24h-Volumen0 €
KALSHIRegeln
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
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The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.