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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?
Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?

Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?

3.0% (24h)One-OffPolitikWahlLatin America12Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Roberto Sánchez, 0-3%
Roberto Sánchez, 0-3% 3%-3.0%
Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

32,3 €

Liquidität

376 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

2.0% / 3.0%

Spread

50.0%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten

21. Mai 26, 21:007. Juni 27, 14:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Roberto Sánchez, 0-3%3%

Regeln

If the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keiko Fujimori minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Who will de facto lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

0,9 €
Delcy Rodríguez: 90%KalshiKALSHI
When will Venezuela hold a presidential election?

When will Venezuela hold a presidential election?

0 €
Before Jan 1, 2027: 18%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,619.31+2.19%EthereumETH$1,649.78+1.51%SolanaSOL$65.08+1.52%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.62%XRPXRP$1.12+0.32%BNBBNB$595.08+1.65%

Verwandte Nachrichten

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Regeln

If the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keiko Fujimori minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.