KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Keiko Fujimori, 0-3% (94%)
Entschieden: 03.07.2026, 19:59
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
Keiko Fujimori, 0-3%
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
—
Aktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitKeiko Fujimori, 0-3% 81%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
19 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
37.106,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 1.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 24 Tagen
Veraltet21. Mai 26, 21:007. Juni 27, 14:00
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Keiko Fujimori, ≥12%1%
Keiko Fujimori, 9-12%8%
Keiko Fujimori, 6-9%1%
Keiko Fujimori, 3-6%1%
Keiko Fujimori, 0-3%94%
Roberto Sánchez, 0-3%6%
Roberto Sánchez, 3-6%1%
Roberto Sánchez, 6-9%2%
Roberto Sánchez, 9-12%1%
Roberto Sánchez, ≥12%1%
0.9%
6.9%
0.9%
0.9%
81%
5.2%
Dieser Markt ist geschlossen. Demo-Trading ist nur bei offenen Märkten verfügbar.
Plattformen vergleichen· Keiko Fujimori, 0-3%
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt82% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 100% | — | 1126,7 € | 0 € | vor 22 Tagen | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 94% | — | 0 € | 37.106,5 € | vor 24 Tagen |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
0.5 ptsGeschlossen
Aufgelöst
Fujimori 0.2–0.3% (100%)
+0.5pt100%
0%
0%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
48 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadNiedrige Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen2,6 Mio. €
24h-Volumen1126,7 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keiko Fujimori minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$5.6k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? — Yespemul2svor 25 Tagen
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If the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keiko Fujimori minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.