PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 6%
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
34,1 €
Liquidität
5636,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.6% / 6.9%
Spread
23.2%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-1.3%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
12. Nov. 25, 22:0731. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes6%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach 24h-Volumen| Plattform | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 FutuurAktivste | 91% | +85pt | 242,3 € | 0 € | vor 17 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| PolymarketDiese Seite | 94% | +88pt | 34,1 € | 5636,3 € | vor 1 Minute |
Auch verfügbar auf Futuur
Will OpenAI be acquired in 2026?
5Mon
9%
91%
40 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen242,3 €
24h-Volumen242,3 €
FUTUURRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
- An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
- The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$392. Juli6T Daten8. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
GPT-5.6 released by...?
444.062,2 €July 31: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETGPT-5.6 released on...?
210.714,1 €July 9: 98%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has best AI model end of July?
137.419,1 €Anthropic: 84%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will OpenAI release GPT-5.6?
89.044,4 €Before Jul 9, 2026: 1%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Best AI this week
67.191,8 €ChatGPT: 6%KALSHI
KALSHIBest AI in Jul 2026?
34.917,2 €Claude: 83%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
- An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
- The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.