PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
No release by November 30 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Referenzwert
No release by November 30 45%Führend unter 29 Optionen
No release by November 30 45%Marktqualitat
42 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1105,3 €
Liquidität
10.223,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätOpen Interest
1160,4 $
Geld / Brief
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No release by November 30Spread
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Kommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
3. Nov. 26, 21:02 UTC1. Dez. 26, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Größte Inhaber
Größte Inhaber werden geladen
Markttiefe · No release by November 30
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date?
PolymarketWill Meta release Muse Spark 1.4 (or any higher-numbered Muse Spark) by November 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
PolymarketNext Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by which date?
PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
LimitlessRegeln
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public.
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
- The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website.
